Wealthy Nations Grapple with Birth Rate Decline: New Research Sheds Light on Causes and Consequences
A wave of new scientific analysis is redefining how experts understand the ongoing decline in birth rates across wealthy countries, raising deep questions for the future of advanced economies including Thailand. The latest research, profiled in a recent Newsweek lead, points to a complex web of factors fueling the trend, with implications reaching far beyond family size–affecting national prosperity, social cohesion, and public health systems.
Rich nations around the world are witnessing historic lows in fertility, even as overall global population growth begins to plateau. According to authoritative sources such as Wikipedia’s synthesis of worldwide fertility data, the total fertility rate (TFR) in countries like South Korea, Taiwan, and Ukraine has dipped to 1.0 or lower, far below the “replacement rate” of approximately 2.1 necessary to maintain population levels. Similar declines are observed in Chile, China, Japan, Malta, Poland, and Spain, with TFR values at or below 1.2 (Wikipedia).