#Forecasting

A groundbreaking new study reveals that individuals with higher intelligence are not only better at academic tests but are also significantly more accurate at predicting their own futures, offering critical insights for personal and societal decision-making. This finding, based on nearly two decades of data from over 3,900 older adults in England, is stirring debate about how Thai people and policymakers might approach health, financial planning, and education in a world of increasing uncertainty ZME Science.

Higher intelligence may help people forecast their futures more accurately, not just perform well on tests. Using nearly two decades of data from more than 3,900 older adults in England, researchers linked cognitive ability to better judgments about life events. Analyses that included genetic data suggest a meaningful connection between intellect and improved forecasting, with potential implications for personal planning and public policy amid rising uncertainty.

The study asks a simple, crucial question: can people reliably estimate how long they will live? Participants in the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing were asked to rate their chances of reaching milestones like age 75. These self-assessments were then compared with official statistics from the UK’s Office for National Statistics. Higher-IQ individuals tended to give estimates closer to reality, while lower-IQ respondents were more often off the mark, sometimes by a large margin.