#ThailandDemographics

A wave of new scientific analysis is redefining how experts understand the ongoing decline in birth rates across wealthy countries, raising deep questions for the future of advanced economies including Thailand. The latest research, profiled in a recent Newsweek lead, points to a complex web of factors fueling the trend, with implications reaching far beyond family size–affecting national prosperity, social cohesion, and public health systems.

Rich nations around the world are witnessing historic lows in fertility, even as overall global population growth begins to plateau. According to authoritative sources such as Wikipedia’s synthesis of worldwide fertility data, the total fertility rate (TFR) in countries like South Korea, Taiwan, and Ukraine has dipped to 1.0 or lower, far below the “replacement rate” of approximately 2.1 necessary to maintain population levels. Similar declines are observed in Chile, China, Japan, Malta, Poland, and Spain, with TFR values at or below 1.2 (Wikipedia).

A dramatic new wave of research suggests global fertility rates are in unprecedented decline, with millions of people around the world struggling to have the number of children they desire—often not because of changing attitudes, but because of mounting social and economic obstacles. Recent studies—including a large survey conducted by the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA)—show that in both high- and middle-income countries, including Thailand, the costs of parenthood, job insecurity, insufficient welfare support, environmental anxieties, and evolving cultural priorities are driving birth rates to historic lows Time, BBC, Al Jazeera.

A generational shift in attitudes toward parenthood among millennials is attracting global attention, with experts debating whether today’s young adults are “childless” by circumstance or proudly “child free” by choice. A recent series of opinion letters in The New York Times highlights the nuanced perspectives within this ongoing discussion, reflecting broader societal changes and raising important questions about the future of family, well-being, and society both in the United States and around the world, including Thailand. In examining the latest research and public debate, it becomes clear that decision-making on children among millennials is far more complex than previously assumed, as economic concerns, cultural values, and social expectations all play pivotal roles (New York Times).